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Pack EV Calc

Wizards Black Star Promos

BASE · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Wizards Black Star Promos

Released July 1, 1999·53 cards·51 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $128.75 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $1062.50

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$128.75

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$123.76

Above cost

HIT RATE

51.9%

1 in ~2 packs

PRICE DATA

51/53

96% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$128.75 total EV

Rare$128.65

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Rare
$128.65/pack
53 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $86.26
Best:Pokémon Center$1062.50

TOP PULLS

51 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Pokémon Center

Pokémon Center

Promo1.0% pull

$1062.50

$31.07 EV

2
Lucky Stadium

Lucky Stadium

Promo1.0% pull

$1050.33

$30.72 EV

3
_____'s Pikachu

_____'s Pikachu

Promo1.0% pull

$230.24

$6.73 EV

4
Snorlax

Snorlax

Promo1.0% pull

$213.20

$6.24 EV

5
Venusaur

Venusaur

Promo1.0% pull

$205.65

$6.01 EV

6
Mew

Mew

Promo1.0% pull

$119.49

$3.49 EV

7
Mewtwo

Mewtwo

Promo1.0% pull

$101.85

$2.98 EV

8
Mew

Mew

Promo1.0% pull

$91.37

$2.67 EV

9
Dark Persian

Dark Persian

Promo1.0% pull

$79.03

$2.31 EV

10
Cool Porygon

Cool Porygon

Promo1.0% pull

$75.56

$2.21 EV

11
Articuno

Articuno

Promo1.0% pull

$64.45

$1.88 EV

12
Pikachu

Pikachu

Promo1.0% pull

$63.08

$1.84 EV

13
Flying Pikachu

Flying Pikachu

Promo1.0% pull

$60.59

$1.77 EV

14
Psyduck

Psyduck

Promo1.0% pull

$58.79

$1.72 EV

15
Meowth

Meowth

Promo1.0% pull

$51.61

$1.51 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Wizards Black Star Promos packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $128.75 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$123.76 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Wizards Black Star Promos packs?

About 52% — roughly 1 in 2 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Wizards Black Star Promos?

The highest expected-value card in Wizards Black Star Promos is Pokémon Center, currently priced around $1062.50. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Wizards Black Star Promos set was released on July 1, 1999 as part of the Base series, containing 53 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $128.75 per pack — a positive return of +$123.76 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Wizards Black Star Promos packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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