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Pack EV Calc

Dark Explorers

BLACK & WHITE · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Dark Explorers

Released May 9, 2012·111 cards·111 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $64.60 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $499.99

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$64.60

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$59.61

Above cost

HIT RATE

41.0%

1 in ~2 packs

PRICE DATA

111/111

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$64.60 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$4.49Holo Rare$1.23EX$8.73Ultra Rare$40.54Secret Rare$9.51

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
68 cards·Filler slot
Best:Umbreon$84.97
Rare
$4.49/pack
19 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $6.18
Best:Espeon$45.44
Holo Rare
$1.23/pack
9 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $4.34
Best:Venusaur$12.74
EX / V / GX / ex
$8.73/pack
6 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $44.64
Best:Groudon-EX$80.00
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$40.54/pack
6 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $322.92
Best:Darkrai-EX$499.99
Secret Rare / Special Art
$9.51/pack
3 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $237.83
Best:Gardevoir$544.00

TOP PULLS

43 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Darkrai-EX

Darkrai-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$499.99

$10.46 EV

2
Groudon-EX

Groudon-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$450.31

$9.42 EV

3
Kyogre-EX

Kyogre-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$429.99

$9.00 EV

4
Gardevoir

Gardevoir

Rare Secret1.3% pull

$544.00

$7.25 EV

5
Entei-EX

Entei-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$257.98

$5.40 EV

6
Raikou-EX

Raikou-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$220.00

$4.60 EV

7
Groudon-EX

Groudon-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$80.00

$2.61 EV

8
Kyogre-EX

Kyogre-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$75.09

$2.45 EV

9
Espeon

Espeon

Rare2.9% pull

$45.44

$1.74 EV

10
Tornadus-EX

Tornadus-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$79.22

$1.66 EV

11
Entei-EX

Entei-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$49.99

$1.63 EV

12
Pokémon Catcher

Pokémon Catcher

Rare Secret1.3% pull

$97.50

$1.30 EV

13
Raikou-EX

Raikou-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$36.41

$1.19 EV

14
Archeops

Archeops

Rare Secret1.3% pull

$71.99

$0.96 EV

15
Glaceon

Glaceon

Rare2.9% pull

$20.14

$0.77 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Dark Explorers packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $64.60 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$59.61 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Dark Explorers packs?

About 41% — roughly 1 in 2 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Dark Explorers?

The highest expected-value card in Dark Explorers is Darkrai-EX, currently priced around $499.99. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Dark Explorers set was released on May 9, 2012 as part of the Black & White series, containing 111 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $64.60 per pack — a positive return of +$59.61 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Dark Explorers packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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