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Pack EV Calc

Dragons Exalted

BLACK & WHITE · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Dragons Exalted

Released August 15, 2012·128 cards·128 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $43.92 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $462.33

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$43.92

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$38.93

Above cost

HIT RATE

37.2%

1 in ~3 packs

PRICE DATA

128/128

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$43.92 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$2.56Holo Rare$0.93EX$4.76Ultra Rare$25.28Secret Rare$10.29

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
75 cards·Filler slot
Best:Gabite$21.12
Rare
$2.56/pack
24 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $3.45
Best:Roserade$26.90
Holo Rare
$0.93/pack
13 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $3.05
Best:Ninetales$7.62
EX / V / GX / ex
$4.76/pack
6 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $25.27
Best:Mew-EX$84.77
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$25.28/pack
6 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $213.54
Best:Mew-EX$462.33
Secret Rare / Special Art
$10.29/pack
4 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $257.24
Best:Rayquaza$549.99

TOP PULLS

53 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Mew-EX

Mew-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$462.33

$9.12 EV

2
Giratina-EX

Giratina-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$279.90

$5.52 EV

3
Rayquaza

Rayquaza

Rare Secret1.0% pull

$549.99

$5.50 EV

4
Ho-Oh-EX

Ho-Oh-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$244.99

$4.83 EV

5
Rayquaza-EX

Rayquaza-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$178.28

$3.52 EV

6
Mew-EX

Mew-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$84.77

$2.66 EV

7
Krookodile

Krookodile

Rare Secret1.0% pull

$199.99

$2.00 EV

8
Serperior

Serperior

Rare Secret1.0% pull

$148.99

$1.49 EV

9
Registeel-EX

Registeel-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$69.00

$1.36 EV

10
Reuniclus

Reuniclus

Rare Secret1.0% pull

$129.99

$1.30 EV

11
Terrakion-EX

Terrakion-EX

Rare Ultra1.2% pull

$46.75

$0.92 EV

12
Giratina-EX

Giratina-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$27.47

$0.86 EV

13
Roserade

Roserade

Rare2.3% pull

$26.90

$0.83 EV

14
Rayquaza-EX

Rayquaza-EX

Rare Holo EX2.3% pull

$15.51

$0.49 EV

15
Houndoom

Houndoom

Rare2.3% pull

$12.11

$0.38 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Dragons Exalted packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $43.92 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$38.93 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Dragons Exalted packs?

About 37% — roughly 1 in 3 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Dragons Exalted?

The highest expected-value card in Dragons Exalted is Mew-EX, currently priced around $462.33. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Dragons Exalted set was released on August 15, 2012 as part of the Black & White series, containing 128 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $43.92 per pack — a positive return of +$38.93 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Dragons Exalted packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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