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Pack EV Calc

Crystal Guardians

EX · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Crystal Guardians

Released August 1, 2006·100 cards·201 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $93.15 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $1025.00
EV EFFICIENCY150%

150% of pack cost covered — great value

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$93.15

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$88.16

Above cost

HIT RATE

75.4%

1 in ~1 packs

PRICE DATA

201/201

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$93.15 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$12.69Holo Rare$20.32EX$23.86Ultra Rare$36.18

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
134 cards·Filler slot
Best:Alakazam ★$1025.00
Rare
$12.69/pack
32 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $17.89
Best:Blastoise$127.50
Holo Rare
$20.32/pack
13 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $76.78
Best:Charizard δ$539.00
EX / V / GX / ex
$23.86/pack
10 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $125.73
Best:Swampert ex$255.00
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$36.18/pack
12 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $278.94
Best:Alakazam Star$1025.00

TOP PULLS

67 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1

Alakazam Star

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$1025.00

$11.08 EV

2
Charizard δ

Charizard δ

Rare Holo1.5% pull

$539.00

$10.97 EV

3

Celebi Star

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$950.00

$10.27 EV

4
Blastoise δ

Blastoise δ

Rare Holo1.5% pull

$254.14

$5.17 EV

5
Swampert ex

Swampert ex

Rare Holo EX1.4% pull

$255.00

$4.84 EV

6
Kyogre ex

Kyogre ex

Rare Holo EX1.4% pull

$186.10

$3.53 EV

7
Sceptile ex δ

Sceptile ex δ

Rare Holo EX1.4% pull

$179.00

$3.40 EV

8
Blastoise

Blastoise

Rare1.7% pull

$127.50

$2.83 EV

9

Swampert ex

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$255.00

$2.76 EV

10
Jirachi ex

Jirachi ex

Rare Holo EX1.4% pull

$142.32

$2.70 EV

11

Jirachi ex

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$239.99

$2.59 EV

12
Groudon ex

Groudon ex

Rare Holo EX1.4% pull

$129.25

$2.45 EV

13
Blaziken ex

Blaziken ex

Rare Holo EX1.4% pull

$124.83

$2.37 EV

14

Kyogre ex

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$186.10

$2.01 EV

15

Sceptile ex (Delta Species)

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$179.00

$1.93 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Crystal Guardians packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $93.15 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$88.16 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Crystal Guardians packs?

About 75% — roughly 1 in 1 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Crystal Guardians?

The highest expected-value card in Crystal Guardians is Alakazam Star, currently priced around $1025.00. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Crystal Guardians set was released on August 1, 2006 as part of the EX series, containing 100 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $93.15 per pack — a positive return of +$88.16 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Crystal Guardians packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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