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Pack EV Calc

Rising Rivals

PLATINUM · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Rising Rivals

Released May 16, 2009·120 cards·120 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $22.25 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $170.00

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$22.25

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$17.26

Above cost

HIT RATE

51.8%

1 in ~2 packs

PRICE DATA

120/120

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$22.25 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$11.28Holo Rare$5.47Secret Rare$5.40

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
74 cards·Filler slot
Best:Snorlax LV.X$797.47
Rare
$11.28/pack
30 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $13.99
Best:Wash Rotom$41.59
Holo Rare
$5.47/pack
13 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $17.58
Best:Darkrai G$49.59
Secret Rare / Special Art
$5.40/pack
3 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $135.10
Best:Pikachu$170.00

TOP PULLS

46 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Pikachu

Pikachu

Rare Secret1.3% pull

$170.00

$2.27 EV

2
Flying Pikachu

Flying Pikachu

Rare Secret1.3% pull

$120.31

$1.60 EV

3
Surfing Pikachu

Surfing Pikachu

Rare Secret1.3% pull

$115.00

$1.53 EV

4
Darkrai G

Darkrai G

Rare Holo1.5% pull

$49.59

$1.19 EV

5
Arcanine

Arcanine

Rare Holo1.5% pull

$48.17

$1.15 EV

6
Wash Rotom

Wash Rotom

Rare1.8% pull

$41.59

$1.12 EV

7
Snorlax

Snorlax

Rare1.8% pull

$36.95

$0.99 EV

8
Raichu GL

Raichu GL

Rare1.8% pull

$36.88

$0.99 EV

9
Mow Rotom

Mow Rotom

Rare1.8% pull

$32.73

$0.88 EV

10
Jolteon

Jolteon

Rare1.8% pull

$32.35

$0.87 EV

11
Frost Rotom

Frost Rotom

Rare1.8% pull

$31.37

$0.84 EV

12
Flareon

Flareon

Rare1.8% pull

$29.00

$0.78 EV

13
Heat Rotom

Heat Rotom

Rare1.8% pull

$28.53

$0.77 EV

14
Fan Rotom

Fan Rotom

Rare1.8% pull

$26.02

$0.70 EV

15
Espeon E4

Espeon E4

Rare1.8% pull

$23.55

$0.63 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Rising Rivals packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $22.25 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$17.26 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Rising Rivals packs?

About 52% — roughly 1 in 2 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Rising Rivals?

The highest expected-value card in Rising Rivals is Pikachu, currently priced around $170.00. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Rising Rivals set was released on May 16, 2009 as part of the Platinum series, containing 120 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $22.25 per pack — a positive return of +$17.26 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Rising Rivals packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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