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Pack EV Calc

Journey Together

SCARLET & VIOLET · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Journey Together

Released March 28, 2025·190 cards·190 priced
BELOW COSTEV $2.98 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $132.36

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Below Cost

EV PER PACK

$2.98

Expected return

VS PACK COST

$-2.01

Below cost

HIT RATE

6.5%

1 in ~15 packs

PRICE DATA

190/190

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$2.98 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$0.11EX$0.21Ultra Rare$0.92Secret Rare$1.65

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
127 cards·Filler slot
Best:Brock's Scouting$0.80
Rare
$0.11/pack
16 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $0.17
Best:Tyranitar$0.25
EX / V / GX / ex
$0.21/pack
16 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $0.91
Best:Blaziken ex$1.83
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$0.92/pack
22 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $4.79
Best:N's Reshiram$20.69
Secret Rare / Special Art
$1.65/pack
9 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $41.23
Best:Lillie's Clefairy ex$132.36

TOP PULLS

63 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Lillie's Clefairy ex

Lillie's Clefairy ex

Special Illustration Rare0.4% pull

$132.36

$0.59 EV

2
Salamence ex

Salamence ex

Special Illustration Rare0.4% pull

$57.49

$0.26 EV

3
N's Zoroark ex

N's Zoroark ex

Special Illustration Rare0.4% pull

$52.42

$0.23 EV

4
Iono's Bellibolt ex

Iono's Bellibolt ex

Special Illustration Rare0.4% pull

$42.33

$0.19 EV

5
N's Reshiram

N's Reshiram

Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$20.69

$0.18 EV

6
Articuno

Articuno

Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$18.15

$0.16 EV

7
Hop's Zacian ex

Hop's Zacian ex

Special Illustration Rare0.4% pull

$35.17

$0.16 EV

8
Wailord

Wailord

Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$10.24

$0.09 EV

9
Volcanion ex

Volcanion ex

Special Illustration Rare0.4% pull

$19.17

$0.09 EV

10
N's Zoroark ex

N's Zoroark ex

Hyper Rare0.4% pull

$15.09

$0.07 EV

11
Furret

Furret

Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$6.15

$0.05 EV

12
Iono's Bellibolt ex

Iono's Bellibolt ex

Hyper Rare0.4% pull

$11.62

$0.05 EV

13
Lillie's Clefairy ex

Lillie's Clefairy ex

Ultra Rare0.3% pull

$5.89

$0.05 EV

14
Iono's Kilowattrel

Iono's Kilowattrel

Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$5.67

$0.05 EV

15
N's Zoroark ex

N's Zoroark ex

Ultra Rare0.3% pull

$5.38

$0.05 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Journey Together packs?

Based on current market prices, probably not if you're purely chasing value — the expected value is $2.98 per pack versus a $4.99 pack price, meaning you lose about $2.01 per pack on average. However, if you hit a chase card it can still return many times the pack cost.

What is the hit rate for Journey Together packs?

About 7% — roughly 1 in 15 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Journey Together?

The highest expected-value card in Journey Together is Lillie's Clefairy ex, currently priced around $132.36. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Journey Together set was released on March 28, 2025 as part of the Scarlet & Violet series, containing 190 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $2.98 per pack — a negative return of $-2.01 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Journey Together packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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