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Pack EV Calc

Mysterious Treasures

DIAMOND & PEARL · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Mysterious Treasures

Released August 1, 2007·124 cards·248 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $15.36 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $59.20
EV EFFICIENCY150%

150% of pack cost covered — great value

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$15.36

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$10.37

Above cost

HIT RATE

38.4%

1 in ~3 packs

PRICE DATA

248/248

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$15.36 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$2.55Holo Rare$5.48Ultra Rare$4.86Secret Rare$2.37

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
180 cards·Filler slot
Best:Time-Space Distortion$59.20
Rare
$2.55/pack
46 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $3.47
Best:Gyarados$22.52
Holo Rare
$5.48/pack
18 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $20.08
Best:Alakazam$50.58
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$4.86/pack
3 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $59.15
Best:Electivire LV.X$68.07
Secret Rare / Special Art
$2.37/pack
1 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $59.20
Best:Time-Space Distortion$59.20

TOP PULLS

68 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Time-Space Distortion

Time-Space Distortion

Rare Secret4.0% pull

$59.20

$2.37 EV

2

Electivire LV.X

Ultra Rare2.3% pull

$68.07

$1.86 EV

3

Lucario LV.X

Ultra Rare2.3% pull

$58.63

$1.61 EV

4

Magmortar Lv.X

Ultra Rare2.3% pull

$50.74

$1.39 EV

5
Alakazam

Alakazam

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$50.58

$0.77 EV

6
Celebi

Celebi

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$49.56

$0.75 EV

7
Garchomp

Garchomp

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$36.29

$0.55 EV

8
Typhlosion

Typhlosion

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$34.90

$0.53 EV

9
Feraligatr

Feraligatr

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$29.54

$0.45 EV

10
Tyranitar

Tyranitar

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$28.07

$0.43 EV

11
Uxie

Uxie

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$24.31

$0.37 EV

12
Gyarados

Gyarados

Rare1.2% pull

$22.52

$0.36 EV

13
Ninetales

Ninetales

Rare1.2% pull

$21.87

$0.35 EV

14
Azelf

Azelf

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$18.20

$0.28 EV

15
Raichu

Raichu

Rare Holo1.1% pull

$17.07

$0.26 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Mysterious Treasures packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $15.36 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$10.37 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Mysterious Treasures packs?

About 38% — roughly 1 in 3 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Mysterious Treasures?

The highest expected-value card in Mysterious Treasures is Time-Space Distortion, currently priced around $59.20. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Mysterious Treasures set was released on August 1, 2007 as part of the Diamond & Pearl series, containing 124 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $15.36 per pack — a positive return of +$10.37 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Mysterious Treasures packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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