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Pack EV Calc

Secret Wonders

DIAMOND & PEARL · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Secret Wonders

Released November 1, 2007·132 cards·132 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $18.51 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $154.64

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$18.51

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$13.52

Above cost

HIT RATE

37.3%

1 in ~3 packs

PRICE DATA

132/132

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$18.51 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$4.04Holo Rare$14.37

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
88 cards·Filler slot
Best:Gardevoir LV.X$95.42
Rare
$4.04/pack
24 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $5.52
Best:Arcanine$32.62
Holo Rare
$14.37/pack
20 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $40.87
Best:Mew$154.64

TOP PULLS

44 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Mew

Mew

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$154.64

$2.72 EV

2
Charizard

Charizard

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$143.78

$2.53 EV

3
Blastoise

Blastoise

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$79.66

$1.40 EV

4
Lugia

Lugia

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$75.16

$1.32 EV

5
Arcanine

Arcanine

Rare2.3% pull

$32.62

$0.99 EV

6
Gardevoir

Gardevoir

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$53.62

$0.94 EV

7
Ho-Oh

Ho-Oh

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$42.24

$0.74 EV

8
Suicune

Suicune

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$40.90

$0.72 EV

9
Absol

Absol

Rare2.3% pull

$23.18

$0.71 EV

10
Entei

Entei

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$37.99

$0.67 EV

11
Salamence

Salamence

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$34.60

$0.61 EV

12
Ampharos

Ampharos

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$31.28

$0.55 EV

13
Venusaur

Venusaur

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$29.51

$0.52 EV

14
Raikou

Raikou

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$19.95

$0.35 EV

15
Lickilicky

Lickilicky

Rare Holo1.0% pull

$13.34

$0.23 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Secret Wonders packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $18.51 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$13.52 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Secret Wonders packs?

About 37% — roughly 1 in 3 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Secret Wonders?

The highest expected-value card in Secret Wonders is Mew, currently priced around $154.64. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Secret Wonders set was released on November 1, 2007 as part of the Diamond & Pearl series, containing 132 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $18.51 per pack — a positive return of +$13.52 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Secret Wonders packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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