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Pack EV Calc

Emerald

EX · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Emerald

Released May 1, 2005·107 cards·214 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $78.84 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $409.43
EV EFFICIENCY150%

150% of pack cost covered — great value

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$78.84

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$73.85

Above cost

HIT RATE

77.8%

1 in ~1 packs

PRICE DATA

214/214

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$78.84 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$17.59Holo Rare$13.08EX$29.06Ultra Rare$16.14Secret Rare$2.87

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
145 cards·Filler slot
Best:Rayquaza$103.28
Rare
$17.59/pack
28 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $25.79
Best:Groudon$203.50
Holo Rare
$13.08/pack
17 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $46.68
Best:Rayquaza$249.98
EX / V / GX / ex
$29.06/pack
11 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $151.44
Best:Milotic ex$409.43
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$16.14/pack
11 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $132.42
Best:Milotic ex$409.43
Secret Rare / Special Art
$2.87/pack
2 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $71.66
Best:Farfetch'd$93.33

TOP PULLS

69 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Milotic ex

Milotic ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$409.43

$7.14 EV

2
Groudon

Groudon

Rare2.0% pull

$203.50

$4.96 EV

3

Milotic ex

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$409.43

$4.54 EV

4
Kyogre

Kyogre

Rare2.0% pull

$175.00

$4.26 EV

5
Rayquaza

Rayquaza

Rare Holo1.2% pull

$249.98

$4.12 EV

6
Regice ex

Regice ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$189.74

$3.31 EV

7
Regirock ex

Regirock ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$170.00

$2.97 EV

8
Cacturne ex

Cacturne ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$165.00

$2.88 EV

9

Registeel ex

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$219.98

$2.44 EV

10
Altaria ex

Altaria ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$125.66

$2.19 EV

11
Raichu ex

Raichu ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$124.74

$2.18 EV

12

Regice ex

Ultra Rare0.6% pull

$189.65

$2.10 EV

13
Deoxys ex

Deoxys ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$116.49

$2.03 EV

14
Registeel ex

Registeel ex

Rare Holo EX1.3% pull

$110.00

$1.92 EV

15
Farfetch'd

Farfetch'd

Rare Secret2.0% pull

$93.33

$1.87 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Emerald packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $78.84 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$73.85 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Emerald packs?

About 78% — roughly 1 in 1 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Emerald?

The highest expected-value card in Emerald is Milotic ex, currently priced around $409.43. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Emerald set was released on May 1, 2005 as part of the EX series, containing 107 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $78.84 per pack — a positive return of +$73.85 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Emerald packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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