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Pack EV Calc

HS—Triumphant

HEARTGOLD & SOULSILVER · PACK EV CALCULATOR

HS—Triumphant

Released November 3, 2010·103 cards·103 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $35.90 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $403.33

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$35.90

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$30.91

Above cost

HIT RATE

55.3%

1 in ~2 packs

PRICE DATA

103/103

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$35.90 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$7.31Holo Rare$1.97EX$23.35Secret Rare$3.16

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
63 cards·Filler slot
Best:Darkrai & Cresselia LEGEND$142.71
Rare
$7.31/pack
19 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $9.93
Best:Ditto$59.63
Holo Rare
$1.97/pack
12 cards·20.0% pull chance·avg $6.21
Best:Rapidash$15.36
EX / V / GX / ex
$23.35/pack
8 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $106.92
Best:Gengar$403.33
Secret Rare / Special Art
$3.16/pack
1 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $78.98
Best:Alph Lithograph$78.98

TOP PULLS

40 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Gengar

Gengar

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$403.33

$11.01 EV

2
Mew

Mew

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$218.20

$5.96 EV

3
Alph Lithograph

Alph Lithograph

Rare Secret4.0% pull

$78.98

$3.16 EV

4
Ditto

Ditto

Rare2.9% pull

$59.63

$2.31 EV

5
Absol

Absol

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$76.57

$2.09 EV

6
Celebi

Celebi

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$56.06

$1.53 EV

7
Dragonite

Dragonite

Rare2.9% pull

$23.43

$0.91 EV

8
Machamp

Machamp

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$32.59

$0.89 EV

9
Wailord

Wailord

Rare2.9% pull

$21.33

$0.83 EV

10
Electrode

Electrode

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$27.42

$0.75 EV

11
Magnezone

Magnezone

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$22.99

$0.63 EV

12
Yanmega

Yanmega

Rare Prime1.8% pull

$18.20

$0.50 EV

13
Pidgeot

Pidgeot

Rare2.9% pull

$11.64

$0.45 EV

14
Sharpedo

Sharpedo

Rare2.9% pull

$10.83

$0.42 EV

15
Rapidash

Rapidash

Rare Holo1.7% pull

$15.36

$0.41 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening HS—Triumphant packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $35.90 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$30.91 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for HS—Triumphant packs?

About 55% — roughly 1 in 2 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in HS—Triumphant?

The highest expected-value card in HS—Triumphant is Gengar, currently priced around $403.33. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The HS—Triumphant set was released on November 3, 2010 as part of the HeartGold & SoulSilver series, containing 103 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $35.90 per pack — a positive return of +$30.91 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether HS—Triumphant packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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