SCARLET & VIOLET · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Paradox Rift

Released November 3, 2023·266 cards·466 priced

✅ GOOD VALUEEV $5.64 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $123.72

EV EFFICIENCY113%

113% of pack cost covered — great value

PACK COST

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$5.64

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$0.65

Above cost

HIT RATE

7.2%

1 in ~14 packs

PRICE DATA

466/466

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$5.64 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$0.09EX$0.19Ultra Rare$4.64Secret Rare$0.62

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons

$0.10/pack

220 cards·Filler slot

Best:Technical Machine: Evolution$0.75

Rare

$0.09/pack

44 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $0.13

Best:Morpeko$0.21

EX / V / GX / ex

$0.19/pack

34 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $0.87

Best:Mewtwo ex$2.47

Ultra Rare / Full Art

$4.64/pack

124 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $12.75

Best:Groudon - 199/182$123.72

Secret Rare / Special Art

$0.62/pack

44 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $15.51

Best:Altaria ex - 253/182$58.75

RARITY TIER	CARDS	PULL CHANCE	AVG PRICE	EV / PACK	BEST PULL
Commons & Uncommons	220	Filler	$0.16	$0.10	Technical Machine: Evolution$0.75
Rare	44	55.0%	$0.13	$0.09	Morpeko$0.21
EX / V / GX / ex	34	14.0%	$0.87	$0.19	Mewtwo ex$2.47
Ultra Rare / Full Art	124	7.0%	$12.75	$4.64	Groudon - 199/182$123.72
Secret Rare / Special Art	44	4.0%	$15.51	$0.62	Altaria ex - 253/182$58.75
Total EV / Pack				$5.64	vs $4.99 pack · +$0.65

TOP PULLS

100 cards · ranked by EV contribution

Groudon - 199/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$123.72

$0.36 EV

Groudon

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$122.93

$0.36 EV

Plusle - 193/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$53.87

$0.16 EV

Plusle

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$53.40

$0.16 EV

Minun - 194/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$47.13

$0.14 EV

Minun

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$46.84

$0.14 EV

Steelix - 208/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$41.83

$0.12 EV

Steelix

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$41.19

$0.12 EV

Mantyke

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$37.44

$0.11 EV

Mantyke - 189/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$37.39

$0.11 EV

Morpeko

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$37.36

$0.11 EV

Morpeko - 206/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$37.36

$0.11 EV

Aipom - 211/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$32.60

$0.10 EV

Aipom

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$32.46

$0.10 EV

Yveltal - 205/182

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$28.60

$0.08 EV

PULLED SOMETHING GOOD?

Track your card values, see daily price changes, and find out if it's worth grading — all for free.

START TRACKING FREE →

▶ SIMULATE PARADOX RIFT PACKS ← All Sets Browse Pokédex Track Your Pulls Free →

MORE SCARLET & VIOLET SETS

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Paradox Rift packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $5.64 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$0.65 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Paradox Rift packs?

About 7% — roughly 1 in 14 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Paradox Rift?

The highest expected-value card in Paradox Rift is Groudon - 199/182, currently priced around $123.72. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Paradox Rift set was released on November 3, 2023 as part of the Scarlet & Violet series, containing 266 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $5.64 per pack — a positive return of +$0.65 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Paradox Rift packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

Want to track cards you actually pull? Create a free PokeDen account to log your collection, monitor daily price changes, and see which cards are worth grading.