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Pack EV Calc

Temporal Forces

SCARLET & VIOLET · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Temporal Forces

Released March 22, 2024·218 cards·218 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $4.55 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $92.35

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$4.55

Expected return

VS PACK COST

$-0.44

Below cost

HIT RATE

8.8%

1 in ~11 packs

PRICE DATA

218/218

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$4.55 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$0.08EX$0.28Ultra Rare$3.19Secret Rare$0.91

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
126 cards·Filler slot
Best:Mist Energy$0.55
Rare
$0.08/pack
14 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $0.13
Best:Dudunsparce$0.26
EX / V / GX / ex
$0.28/pack
15 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $1.30
Best:Gengar ex$9.96
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$3.19/pack
47 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $10.53
Best:Gastly$92.35
Secret Rare / Special Art
$0.91/pack
16 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $22.63
Best:Raging Bolt ex$61.63

TOP PULLS

92 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Gastly

Gastly

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$92.35

$0.59 EV

2
Gengar ex

Gengar ex

Ultra Rare0.1% pull

$41.56

$0.27 EV

3
Sawsbuck

Sawsbuck

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$38.86

$0.25 EV

4
Deerling

Deerling

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$29.01

$0.19 EV

5
Metagross

Metagross

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$25.61

$0.16 EV

6
Raging Bolt ex

Raging Bolt ex

Special Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$61.63

$0.15 EV

7
Litten

Litten

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$22.48

$0.14 EV

8
Gengar ex

Gengar ex

Double Rare0.9% pull

$9.96

$0.14 EV

9
Cinccino

Cinccino

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$21.28

$0.14 EV

10
Morty's Conviction

Morty's Conviction

Special Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$51.75

$0.13 EV

11
Lickitung

Lickitung

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$18.32

$0.12 EV

12
Neo Upper Energy

Neo Upper Energy

ACE SPEC Rare0.1% pull

$17.88

$0.12 EV

13
Drampa

Drampa

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$17.62

$0.11 EV

14
Arbok

Arbok

Illustration Rare0.1% pull

$15.88

$0.10 EV

15
Walking Wake ex

Walking Wake ex

Special Illustration Rare0.3% pull

$37.49

$0.09 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Temporal Forces packs?

Based on current market prices, probably not if you're purely chasing value — the expected value is $4.55 per pack versus a $4.99 pack price, meaning you lose about $0.44 per pack on average. However, if you hit a chase card it can still return many times the pack cost.

What is the hit rate for Temporal Forces packs?

About 9% — roughly 1 in 11 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Temporal Forces?

The highest expected-value card in Temporal Forces is Gastly, currently priced around $92.35. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Temporal Forces set was released on March 22, 2024 as part of the Scarlet & Violet series, containing 218 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $4.55 per pack — a negative return of $-0.44 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Temporal Forces packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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