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Pack EV Calc

Temporal Forces

SCARLET & VIOLET · PACK EV CALCULATOR

Temporal Forces

Released March 22, 2024·218 cards·418 priced
GOOD VALUEEV $6.46 / PACKPACK $4.99BEST PULL $117.26
EV EFFICIENCY129%

129% of pack cost covered — great value

PACK COST

$

VERDICT

Good Value

EV PER PACK

$6.46

Expected return

VS PACK COST

+$1.47

Above cost

HIT RATE

8.8%

1 in ~11 packs

PRICE DATA

418/418

100% coverage

VALUE SPLIT

$6.46 total EV

Filler$0.10Rare$0.11EX$0.26Ultra Rare$4.81Secret Rare$1.18

PULL RATE BREAKDOWN

How often each rarity tier appears in a pack

Commons & Uncommons
$0.10/pack
236 cards·Filler slot
Best:Mist Energy$4.67
Rare
$0.11/pack
27 cards·55.0% pull chance·avg $0.17
Best:Dudunsparce$0.38
EX / V / GX / ex
$0.26/pack
29 cards·14.0% pull chance·avg $1.20
Best:Gengar ex - 104/162$6.08
Ultra Rare / Full Art
$4.81/pack
94 cards·7.0% pull chance·avg $15.34
Best:Gastly$117.26
Secret Rare / Special Art
$1.18/pack
32 cards·4.0% pull chance·avg $29.59
Best:Morty's Conviction$77.91

TOP PULLS

100 cards · ranked by EV contribution
1
Gastly

Gastly

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$117.26

$0.39 EV

2
Gastly - 177/162

Gastly - 177/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$117.23

$0.39 EV

3
Gengar ex

Gengar ex

Ultra Rare<0.1% pull

$69.03

$0.23 EV

4
Gengar ex - 193/162

Gengar ex - 193/162

Ultra Rare<0.1% pull

$68.43

$0.23 EV

5
Sawsbuck

Sawsbuck

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$57.15

$0.19 EV

6
Sawsbuck - 166/162

Sawsbuck - 166/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$57.03

$0.19 EV

7
Deerling - 165/162

Deerling - 165/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$45.38

$0.15 EV

8
Deerling

Deerling

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$44.80

$0.15 EV

9
Litten

Litten

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$39.77

$0.13 EV

10
Litten - 167/162

Litten - 167/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$39.06

$0.13 EV

11
Metagross

Metagross

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$37.38

$0.12 EV

12
Drampa

Drampa

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$36.88

$0.12 EV

13
Drampa - 184/162

Drampa - 184/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$36.88

$0.12 EV

14
Metagross - 178/162

Metagross - 178/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$36.85

$0.12 EV

15
Cinccino - 183/162

Cinccino - 183/162

Illustration Rare<0.1% pull

$34.66

$0.12 EV

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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Is it worth opening Temporal Forces packs?

Based on current market prices, yes — the expected value is $6.46 per pack against a $4.99 pack cost, a positive return of +$1.47 on average. Keep in mind EV is a statistical average across many packs; individual packs vary significantly.

What is the hit rate for Temporal Forces packs?

About 9% — roughly 1 in 11 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.

What is the best pull in Temporal Forces?

The highest expected-value card in Temporal Forces is Gastly, currently priced around $117.26. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.

How is pack expected value calculated?

Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.

The Temporal Forces set was released on March 22, 2024 as part of the Scarlet & Violet series, containing 218 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $6.46 per pack — a positive return of +$1.47 on average.

Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Temporal Forces packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.

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