SWORD & SHIELD · PACK EV CALCULATOR
Crown Zenith
PACK COST
VERDICT
Good Value
EV PER PACK
$4.36
Expected return
VS PACK COST
$-0.63
Below cost
HIT RATE
10.8%
1 in ~9 packs
PRICE DATA
160/160
100% coverage
VALUE SPLIT
$4.36 total EV
PULL RATE BREAKDOWN
How often each rarity tier appears in a pack
| RARITY TIER | CARDS | PULL CHANCE | AVG PRICE | EV / PACK | BEST PULL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commons & Uncommons | 71 | Filler | $0.32 | $0.10 | Ultra Ball$0.50 |
Rare | 22 | 55.0% | $0.59 | $0.41 | Snorlax$6.71 |
Holo Rare | 20 | 20.0% | $0.38 | $0.12 | Mewtwo$1.30 |
EX / V / GX / ex | 33 | 14.0% | $2.54 | $0.88 | Radiant Charizard$13.82 |
Ultra Rare / Full Art | 13 | 7.0% | $4.38 | $0.67 | Elesa's Sparkle$15.32 |
Secret Rare / Special Art | 1 | 4.0% | $54.57 | $2.18 | Pikachu$54.57 |
| Total EV / Pack | $4.36 | vs $4.99 pack · $-0.63 |
TOP PULLS
89 cards · ranked by EV contribution
Pikachu
$54.57
$2.18 EV
Snorlax
$6.71
$0.21 EV
Elesa's Sparkle
$15.32
$0.18 EV
Radiant Charizard
$13.82
$0.15 EV
Charizard VSTAR
$9.35
$0.10 EV
Rayquaza VMAX
$8.53
$0.09 EV
Friends in Sinnoh
$6.97
$0.08 EV
Rayquaza VMAX
$7.36
$0.08 EV
Friends in Hisui
$5.87
$0.07 EV
Darkness Energy
$5.09
$0.06 EV
Eevee V
$5.19
$0.05 EV
Charizard V
$4.98
$0.05 EV
Psychic Energy
$3.90
$0.05 EV
Mew V
$4.15
$0.04 EV
Grass Energy
$3.25
$0.04 EV
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FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Is it worth opening Crown Zenith packs?
Based on current market prices, probably not if you're purely chasing value — the expected value is $4.36 per pack versus a $4.99 pack price, meaning you lose about $0.63 per pack on average. However, if you hit a chase card it can still return many times the pack cost.
What is the hit rate for Crown Zenith packs?
About 11% — roughly 1 in 9 packs. This is the probability that your guaranteed rare slot pull is worth more than the pack cost on its own. The reverse holo slot adds additional value on top of this.
What is the best pull in Crown Zenith?
The highest expected-value card in Crown Zenith is Pikachu, currently priced around $54.57. Chase cards like this drive most of a set's EV — a single pull can easily cover the cost of multiple packs.
How is pack expected value calculated?
Every booster pack contains a rare slot (one guaranteed rare or better) and a reverse holo slot (one random card from the set). We apply estimated pull rates to each rarity tier — Secret Rare ~4%, Ultra Rare ~7%, EX/V/ex ~14%, Holo Rare ~20%, Basic Rare ~55%. Within each tier, probability is split equally across all cards of that rarity. Each card's price is weighted by its pull probability and summed to produce the EV per pack. Pull rates are approximations based on community-verified data; actual rates vary by set print run and product type.
The Crown Zenith set was released on January 20, 2023 as part of the Sword & Shield series, containing 160 cards across multiple rarity tiers. At a pack price of $4.99, the estimated expected value is $4.36 per pack — a negative return of $-0.63 on average.
Use the calculator above to adjust pack cost (sealed product prices vary by retailer) and see an updated EV breakdown instantly. Prices update daily — bookmark this page to track whether Crown Zenith packs become better or worse value over time as the market shifts.
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